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4600 points to the stock market is dangerous? When will the final adjustment come?
When A shares when adjustment Liang Hong believes that last year's A shares can be said to be everywhere gold, but this year rose 100%, certainly not everywhere gold. For the A shares when will adjust, said Hong Liang, adjustment of the trend of the stock market is driven by two factors: a central bank to tighten the money supply, improve the risk free rate. But from the current point of view, this situation should not happen in the short term, because the central bank to tighten policy premise is the acceleration of economic growth, income rise, inflationary pressures rise. The second factor is because the stock market value is too high, the marginal buyer gradually disappeared, the seller increased, valuation overwhelmed fell down. This phenomenon has occurred in the history of China, that is, the 2001-2005 market is expected to produce the full circulation of stock. From this perspective, the real implementation of the stock issuance registration system, will be today because of the supply of limited and trading on the price of the stock generated systemic pressure. Liang Hong also said that the value of the stock is also very sensitive to the changes in the intensity of the supervision. Hongkong, for example, has a stock of a recent price rise of several times in the short term, regulators just said to look at the trading records of individual stocks, a few days down dozens of shares.. Liang Hong said that we should have a lot of stock in this market is not regulated by the supervision of the. But the supervision "do not see, and when to see", we do not know, I only know they can not see. |